Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 1.971069 2.259456 2.576659 2.951662 3.383201 3.864617 4.442953
2025-07-27 1.638560 2.034459 2.506648 3.112274 3.869921 4.788416 5.989513
2025-08-03 1.368131 1.818351 2.393782 3.185325 4.249522 5.635987 7.588093
2025-08-10 1.120232 1.579616 2.203201 3.115136 4.421251 6.234404 8.959971
2025-08-17 0.911484 1.353896 1.987151 2.964746 4.445733 6.621160 10.088434
2025-08-24 0.781130 1.216186 1.869566 2.929139 4.618631 7.232004 11.627382
2025-08-31 0.674687 1.096261 1.757629 2.879367 4.753617 7.793382 13.164998
2025-09-07 0.622156 1.052222 1.755152 2.998885 5.170879 8.855207 15.679159
2025-09-14 0.563290 0.988363 1.709827 3.037124 5.451709 9.721419 17.982771
2025-09-21 0.502137 0.911507 1.630965 3.003299 5.596391 10.362736 19.969083
2025-09-28 0.439939 0.824107 1.521431 2.896964 5.589547 10.720685 21.464476
2025-10-05 0.419374 0.810528 1.543725 3.039295 6.072066 12.064290 25.101241
2025-10-12 0.397955 0.794377 1.562568 3.184905 6.597667 13.599350 29.454324
2025-10-19 0.374723 0.771671 1.565976 3.300823 7.082441 15.129969 34.077786
2025-10-26 0.346667 0.735339 1.537199 3.345591 7.423787 16.411695 38.380439
2025-11-02 0.309651 0.675163 1.450996 3.253837 7.450804 17.008946 41.207233
2025-11-09 0.271244 0.606863 1.338479 3.087003 7.281008 17.132173 42.913922
2025-11-16 0.247062 0.567122 1.283588 3.044595 7.396657 17.940409 46.469603
2025-11-23 0.224766 0.528797 1.226954 2.989880 7.473967 18.667048 49.945413
2025-11-30 0.216307 0.521906 1.242263 3.112424 8.012489 20.626889 57.072114
2025-12-07 0.203356 0.502467 1.225147 3.151181 8.341341 22.098842 63.126114
2025-12-14 0.187453 0.473685 1.181555 3.115504 8.467503 23.053028 67.880207
2025-12-21 0.169261 0.436829 1.113202 3.004778 8.372536 23.389374 70.877412